NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jayden Daniels QB

WAS vs NYG · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Pass TDs O +126U -162

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply 41.7% Over

Season avg: 1.5
Graph avg: 1.6
Graph median: 1.50–5
Over the close: 29%2/7

2026 per game

Pass Yds130.0▼-50.3

Att25.5▼-1.4

Cmp%56.9%▼-3.8

Pass TD1.5▲+0.4

INT0.0▼-0.4

Rush Yds50.0▲+10.3

Snaps54.5▼-3.4

Snap %77.5%▼-12.8

2024

0

Nov 10
1

Nov 14
2

Nov 24
3

Dec 01
2

Dec 15
5

Dec 22
3

Dec 29
0

Jan 05
2

Jan 12
2

Jan 18
1

Jan 26
2025

1

Sep 07
2

Sep 11
1

Oct 05
3

Oct 13
1

Oct 19
0

Nov 02
0

Dec 07
2026

2

Sep 13
1

Sep 20
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 42% 5/12 · avg 1.6
Away 47% 8/17 · avg 1.3
vs NYG 33% 1/3 · avg 1.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 80% 16/20
O 1.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 2.5 20% 4/20
O 3.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds211.6#23
Yds/Att6.9#18
Cmp%66.2%#9
Pass TD1.5#16
Pass Att30.5#24

QBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main QB who faced NYG this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.1

Avg diff %+154%

Beat their average100% (4/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jacoby Brissett	2	1.3	+50%
Sep 27	Cam Ward	1	0.7	+50%
Sep 21	Matthew Stafford	4	0.7	+500%
Sep 13	Dak Prescott	2	1.8	+14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.0 yds	4%13.5 yds	12%5.9 yds
Short	30%5.2 yds	14%5.8 yds	33%5.4 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.2 yds#25	3%15.8 yds#17	8%10.5 yds#18
Short	30%5.8 yds#15	16%7.6 yds#12	35%5.8 yds#11

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 9 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%13.6 yds	1%16.7 yds	11%9.9 yds
Short	29%5.4 yds	17%6.3 yds	37%4.8 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	4	7.8	31	24.3%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	3	7.3	22	23.4%
3	Antonio Williams WR	4	4.8	19	14.5%
4	Chig Okonkwo TE	2	3.5	7	10.7%
5	Dyami Brown WR	4	3.2	13	9.7%
6	Rachaad White RB	3	3.0	9	9.3%
7	John Bates TE	2	2.0	4	6.8%
8	Treylon Burks WR	3	2.0	6	6.0%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	1	2.0	2	5.6%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	4	1.8	7	5.2%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass TDs	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	1	Under	1.5	39 (55%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	2	Over	0.5	70 (100%)
2025-12-07	14	@ MIN	0	Under	0.5	39 (75%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SEA	0	Under	—	57 (88%)
2025-10-19	7	@ DAL	1	Under	1.5	46 (69%)
2025-10-13	6	vs CHI	3	Over	3.5	65 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	@ LAC	1	Under	0.5	59 (100%)
2025-09-11	2	@ GB	2	Over	—	69 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	vs NYG	1	Under	1.5	70 (100%)
2025-01-26	21 (P)	@ PHI	1	Under	—	75 (95%)
2025-01-18	20 (P)	@ DET	2	Over	—	75 (100%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ TB	2	Over	—	73 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ DAL	0	Under	—	26 (45%)
2024-12-29	17	vs ATL	3	Over	—	83 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs PHI	5	Over	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	@ NO	2	Over	—	78 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TEN	3	Over	—	83 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs DAL	2	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-14	11	@ PHI	1	Under	—	66 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs PIT	0	Under	—	64 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.