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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Kyler Murray QB

MIN vs NO ·

1.5 Pass TDs O +136U -175
Hit rate · Last 20 25%5/20 Odds imply 40.0% Over
Season avg
0.3
Graph avg
1.1
Graph median
1.00–4
Over the close
50%4/8
2026 per game
Pass Yds144.3â–¼-48.1
Att23.7â–¼-8.5
Cmp%63.4%â–¼-4.9
Pass TD0.3â–¼-0.9
INT0.7â–²+0.1
Rush Yds14.0â–¼-20.6
Snaps49.3â–¼-14.3
Snap %72.3%â–¼-26.5
Kyler Murray passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    1
  2. 1
  3. 2
  4. 0
  5. 1
  6. 0
  7. 1
  8. 2
  9. 0
  10. 1
  11. 1
  12. 4
  13. 2025
    2
  14. 1
  15. 1
  16. 2
  17. 0
  18. 2026
    0
  19. 1
  20. 0
  21. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 29% 4/14 · avg 1.1
  • Away 18% 2/11 · avg 1.1
  • vs NO 100% 1/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 70% 14/20
  • O 1.5 Today 25% 5/20
  • O 2.5 5% 1/20
  • O 3.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NO

What NO allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds197.3#29
  • Yds/Att6.4#24
  • Cmp%60.6%#23
  • Pass TD1.2#24
  • Pass Att30.7#23

QBs vs NO · 2026

Each main QB who faced NO this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.2
Avg diff %-14%
Beat their average33% (1/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Sep 27 Kirk Cousins32.7+13%
Sep 20 Lamar Jackson11.7-40%
Sep 13 Jared Goff22.3-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIN offense

MIN offense: Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%14.4 yds2%11.2 yds8%6.9 yds
Short26%4.6 yds18%7.0 yds35%5.2 yds

Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.7 yds#262%16.0 yds#157%12.2 yds#10
Short33%6.3 yds#913%6.7 yds#1737%4.6 yds#29

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 8 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%10.4 yds3%7.6 yds7%10.4 yds
Short32%4.3 yds19%7.8 yds31%4.3 yds

Last 8 games · Yds/att

Target share · MIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Justin Jefferson WR35.71726.2%
2T.J. Hockenson TE46.52624.5%
3Jordan Addison WR45.52222.3%
4Aaron Jones RB43.81513.1%
5Josh Oliver TE31.757.6%
6Tai Felton WR21.535.5%
7Jauan Jennings WR31.345.1%
8DeeJay Dallas RB40.833.2%
9Gavin Bartholomew TE11.013.0%
10Myles Price WR40.832.8%

Game log · 20 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs MIA0Under1.578 (100%)
2026-09-273@ TB1Under1.559 (100%)
2026-09-131vs GB0Under1.511 (17%)
2025-10-055vs TEN0Under1.565 (96%)
2025-09-254vs SEA2Over1.567 (100%)
2025-09-213@ SF1Under0.566 (100%)
2025-09-142vs CAR1Under0.554 (98%)
2025-09-071@ NO2Over1.566 (100%)
2025-01-0518vs SF4Over—60 (92%)
2024-12-2817@ LA1Under—79 (100%)
2024-12-2216@ CAR1Under—70 (100%)
2024-12-1515vs NE0Under—63 (90%)
2024-12-0814vs SEA2Over—71 (100%)
2024-12-0113@ MIN1Under—82 (100%)
2024-11-2412@ SEA0Under—58 (100%)
2024-11-1010vs NYJ1Under—52 (88%)
2024-11-039vs CHI0Under—55 (95%)
2024-10-278@ MIA2Over—66 (100%)
2024-10-217vs LAC1Under—54 (95%)
2024-10-136@ GB1Under—58 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.