NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Brock Purdy QB

SF vs WAS · Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET

0.5 INTs O +115U -147

Hit rate · Last 20 65%13/20 Odds imply 43.9% Over

Season avg: 0.4
Graph avg: 0.9
Graph median: 1.00–3
Over the close: 31%5/16

2026 per game

Pass Yds239.2▲+5.7

Att28.4▼-2.7

Cmp%69.0%▲+1.8

Pass TD2.6▲+0.6

INT0.4▼-0.8

Rush Yds25.6▲+6.7

Snaps57.8▼-4.6

Snap %97.0%▲+0.2

0.5

2024

0

Dec 08
1

Dec 12
1

Dec 22
2

Dec 30
2025

2

Sep 07
2

Sep 28
0

Nov 16
3

Nov 24
0

Nov 30
0

Dec 14
1

Dec 22
1

Dec 28
1

Jan 03
2

Jan 11
1

Jan 17
2026

1

Sep 10
0

Sep 20
0

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
1

Oct 11
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

Home 59% 10/17 · avg 1.0
Away 57% 8/14 · avg 0.7
vs WAS No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 Today 65% 13/20
O 1.5 25% 5/20
O 2.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs WAS

What WAS allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds247.2#8
Yds/Att6.9#19
Cmp%62.1%#23
Pass TD2.4#2
Pass Att35.6#5

QBs vs WAS · 2026

Each main QB who faced WAS this season: ints in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.3

Avg diff %-41%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Jameis Winston	0	1.0	-100%
Oct 04	Daniel Jones	1	0.8	+33%
Sep 27	Sam Darnold	2	1.2	+60%
Sep 20	Dak Prescott	0	0.8	-100%
Sep 13	Jalen Hurts	0	0.8	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SF offense

SF offense: Share of SF pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%8.3 yds	5%29.4 yds	5%11.2 yds
Short	38%6.7 yds	20%6.6 yds	26%5.6 yds

Share of SF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

WAS defense

WAS defense: Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%4.0 yds#31	4%18.8 yds#7	8%12.8 yds#10
Short	30%5.3 yds#24	16%8.9 yds#3	34%5.2 yds#22

Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%8.8 yds	6%29.4 yds	4%9.8 yds
Short	38%6.7 yds	20%6.8 yds	26%5.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of SF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Mike Evans WR	5	6.8	34	24.5%
2	George Kittle TE	5	5.6	28	20.7%
3	Christian McCaffrey RB	5	5.0	25	18.0%
4	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR	5	4.0	20	14.3%
5	Demarcus Robinson WR	2	3.0	6	11.6%
6	Kyle Juszczyk FB	3	2.0	6	8.0%
7	Jordan Watkins WR	1	2.0	2	7.7%
8	Brandin Cooks WR	2	1.5	3	5.4%
9	Jacob Cowing WR	5	1.0	5	3.7%
10	Luke Farrell TE	5	0.8	4	2.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	INTs	vs 0.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ SEA	1	Over	0.5	60 (100%)
2026-10-04	4	vs DEN	0	Under	0.5	66 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	vs ARI	0	Under	0.5	54 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIA	0	Under	0.5	44 (85%)
2026-09-10	1	@ LA	1	Over	0.5	65 (100%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	@ SEA	1	Over	0.5	51 (85%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ PHI	2	Over	2.5	59 (100%)
2026-01-03	18	vs SEA	1	Over	1.5	42 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	vs CHI	1	Over	1.5	72 (100%)
2025-12-22	16	@ IND	1	Over	0.5	63 (95%)
2025-12-14	15	vs TEN	0	Under	0.5	74 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	@ CLE	0	Under	0.5	63 (94%)
2025-11-24	12	vs CAR	3	Over	3.5	70 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ARI	0	Under	0.5	50 (91%)
2025-09-28	4	vs JAX	2	Over	2.5	66 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	@ SEA	2	Over	0.5	76 (100%)
2024-12-30	17	vs DET	2	Over	—	59 (92%)
2024-12-22	16	@ MIA	1	Over	—	64 (100%)
2024-12-12	15	vs LA	1	Over	—	54 (100%)
2024-12-08	14	vs CHI	0	Under	—	57 (93%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.