NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bryce Young QB

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

0.5 INTs O -105U -121

Hit rate · All 51%18/35 Odds imply 48.3% Over

Season avg: 0.5
Graph avg: 0.7
Graph median: 1.00–2
Over the close: 35%7/20

2026 per game

Pass Yds317.0▲+124.4

Att40.5▲+10.0

Cmp%62.3%▼-0.4

Pass TD2.2▲+0.8

INT0.5▼-0.2

Rush Yds4.8▼-9.4

Snaps68.8▲+8.1

Snap %96.0%▼-0.9

0.5

2024

2

Sep 08
1

Sep 15
0

Oct 06
0

Oct 20
2

Oct 27
1

Nov 03
0

Nov 10
0

Nov 24
0

Dec 01
1

Dec 08
2

Dec 15
0

Dec 22
0

Dec 29
0

Jan 05
2025

2

Sep 07
1

Sep 14
0

Sep 21
0

Sep 28
1

Oct 05
1

Oct 12
0

Oct 19
1

Nov 02
1

Nov 09
0

Nov 16
2

Nov 24
0

Nov 30
0

Dec 14
0

Dec 21
1

Dec 28
1

Jan 03
1

Jan 10
2026

1

Sep 13
0

Sep 20
1

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

Home 53% 9/17 · avg 0.6
Away 50% 9/18 · avg 0.7
vs PHI 100% 1/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 Today 51% 18/35
O 1.5 14% 5/35
O 2.5 0% 0/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds209.9#24
Yds/Att6.7#22
Cmp%61.5%#26
Pass TD0.9#30
Pass Att31.4#21

QBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main QB who faced PHI this season: ints in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.2

Avg diff %+33%

Beat their average67% (2/3)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Trevor Lawrence	1	0.5	+100%
Oct 04	Matthew Stafford	2	1.0	+100%
Sep 20	Cam Ward	0	0.8	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	7%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.1 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	INTs	vs 0.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	0	Under	0.5	75 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	1	Over	0.5	77 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	0	Under	0.5	62 (94%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	1	Over	0.5	61 (90%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	1	Over	1.5	67 (100%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	1	Over	0.5	51 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	1	Over	1.5	53 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	0	Under	0.5	54 (100%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	0	Under	0.5	57 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	0	Under	0.5	64 (100%)
2025-11-24	12	@ SF	2	Over	2.5	46 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ATL	0	Under	0.5	80 (100%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NO	1	Over	1.5	53 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	@ GB	1	Over	—	58 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ NYJ	0	Under	0.5	49 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DAL	1	Over	0.5	67 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIA	1	Over	0.5	70 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NE	0	Under	0.5	56 (81%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ATL	0	Under	0.5	57 (98%)
2025-09-14	2	@ ARI	1	Over	0.5	85 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	@ JAX	2	Over	0.5	64 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ ATL	0	Under	—	67 (100%)
2024-12-29	17	@ TB	0	Under	—	47 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs ARI	0	Under	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	vs DAL	2	Over	—	55 (100%)
2024-12-08	14	@ PHI	1	Over	—	71 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TB	0	Under	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs KC	0	Under	—	62 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NYG	0	Under	—	60 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	vs NO	1	Over	—	53 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ DEN	2	Over	—	61 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	@ WAS	0	Under	—	3 (7%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CHI	0	Under	—	9 (15%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LAC	1	Over	—	48 (100%)
2024-09-08	1	@ NO	2	Over	—	54 (92%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.