NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Davion Mitchell

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

8.5 Pts O -122U -105

Hit rate · Last 5 100%5/5 Odds imply 51.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.2
Graph median: 12.09.0–28.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Davion Mitchell points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.5.

Splits all logged games · over 8.5

Home 66% 23/35 · avg 9.9
Away 53% 19/36 · avg 9.4
vs Timberwolves 50% 1/2 · avg 9.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 6.5 100% 5/5
O 7.5 100% 5/5
O 8.5 Today 100% 5/5
O 9.5 80% 4/5
O 10.5 80% 4/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 8.5	Close
2026-04-14	@ Hornets	28	Over	—
2026-04-12	vs Hawks	12	Over	—
2026-04-09	@ Raptors	15	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Raptors	9	Over	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	12	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 8.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.