NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -120U -106

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.5% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 10.4
Graph median: 10.53.0–16.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Tim Hardaway Jr. points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 66% 29/44 · avg 12.9
Away 76% 32/42 · avg 13.7
vs Timberwolves 80% 8/10 · avg 14.1

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 80% 8/10
O 8.5 70% 7/10
O 9.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 10.5 50% 5/10
O 11.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-04-30	@ Timberwolves	13	Over	—
2026-04-27	vs Timberwolves	8	Under	—
2026-04-25	@ Timberwolves	10	Over	—
2026-04-23	@ Timberwolves	11	Over	—
2026-04-20	vs Timberwolves	16	Over	—
2026-04-18	vs Timberwolves	7	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Thunder	13	Over	—
2026-04-08	vs Grizzlies	13	Over	—
2026-04-06	vs Trail Blazers	3	Under	—
2026-04-04	vs Spurs	10	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.