NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chet Holmgren

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

12.5 Pts O -123U -105

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 51.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 10.8
Graph median: 10.04.0–16.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Chet Holmgren points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 12.5.

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

Home 76% 32/42 · avg 16.8
Away 71% 30/42 · avg 16.7
vs Spurs 36% 4/11 · avg 10.6

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 10.5 40% 2/5
O 11.5 40% 2/5
O 12.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 13.5 40% 2/5
O 14.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 12.5	Close
2026-05-30	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-28	@ Spurs	10	Under	—
2026-05-26	vs Spurs	16	Over	—
2026-05-24	@ Spurs	10	Under	—
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	14	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.