NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ajay Mitchell G

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

11.5 Pts O -107U -116

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 49.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.7
Graph median: 16.52.0–28.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ajay Mitchell points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 58% 21/36 · avg 13.1
Away 66% 21/32 · avg 14.6
vs Spurs 0% 0/5 · avg 7.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 80% 8/10
O 10.5 70% 7/10
O 11.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 12.5 70% 7/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Spurs

What Spurs allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.2#1
Ast10.8#16
3PM7.2#2
Reb16.3#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 11.5	Close
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	2	Under	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	10	Under	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	28	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	24	Over	—
2026-05-07	vs Lakers	20	Over	—
2026-05-05	vs Lakers	18	Over	—
2026-04-27	@ Suns	22	Over	—
2026-04-25	@ Suns	15	Over	—
2026-04-22	vs Suns	14	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.