NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jayson Tatum

Celtics vs Pistons · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

26.5 Pts O -119U -106

Hit rate · Last 5 20%1/5 Odds imply 51.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 23.0
Graph median: 24.017.0–30.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jayson Tatum points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 26.5.

Splits all logged games · over 26.5

Home 0% 0/12 · avg 21.2
Away 20% 2/10 · avg 23.3
vs Pistons No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 22.5 60% 3/5
O 24.5 40% 2/5
O 26.5 Today 20% 1/5
O 28.5 20% 1/5
O 30.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 26.5	Close
2026-04-30	@ 76ers	17	Under	—
2026-04-28	vs 76ers	24	Under	—
2026-04-26	@ 76ers	30	Over	—
2026-04-24	@ 76ers	25	Under	—
2026-04-21	vs 76ers	19	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 26.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.