NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Paul George F

Celtics vs Pistons · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

16.5 Pts O -101U -127

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 47.3% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 14.2
Graph median: 15.07.0–19.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Paul George points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 16.5.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

Home 40% 10/25 · avg 16.2
Away 54% 13/24 · avg 18.0
vs Pistons 100% 1/1 · avg 20.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 80% 4/5
O 14.5 60% 3/5
O 16.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 18.5 20% 1/5
O 20.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Pistons

What Pistons allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts20.5#18
Reb8.4#15
Ast3.7#20
3PM2.8#17

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 16.5	Close
2026-05-10	vs Knicks	7	Under	—
2026-05-08	vs Knicks	15	Under	—
2026-05-06	@ Knicks	19	Over	—
2026-05-04	@ Knicks	17	Over	—
2026-05-02	@ Celtics	13	Under	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.