NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Pelle Larsson G

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

6.5 Reb+Ast O -113U -116

Hit rate · Last 10 50%5/10 Odds imply 49.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 7.7
Graph median: 7.04.0–13.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Pelle Larsson reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 6.5.

Splits all logged games · over 6.5

Home 51% 18/35 · avg 7.0
Away 46% 16/35 · avg 6.8
vs Timberwolves 0% 0/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 90% 9/10
O 5.5 90% 9/10
O 6.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 7.5 50% 5/10
O 8.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Timberwolves

What Timberwolves allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts58.9#1
Ast14.1#7
3PM5.2#22
Reb17.5#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb+Ast	vs 6.5	Close
2026-04-14	@ Hornets	6	Under	—
2026-04-10	@ Wizards	6	Under	—
2026-04-09	@ Raptors	6	Under	—
2026-04-07	@ Raptors	4	Under	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	11	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	9	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	13	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pacers	8	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Cavaliers	8	Over	—
2026-03-25	@ Cavaliers	6	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 6.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.