NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels F

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

7.5 Reb+Ast O +104U -137

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 45.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 6.8
Graph median: 7.04.0–9.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 7.5.

Splits all logged games · over 7.5

Home 43% 18/42 · avg 7.2
Away 46% 20/43 · avg 7.1
vs Heat 0% 0/2 · avg 5.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 5.5 80% 4/5
O 6.5 60% 3/5
O 7.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 8.5 20% 1/5
O 9.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.0#2
Reb16.8#5
Ast7.2#14
3PM5.9#1

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Reb+Ast	vs 7.5	Close
2026-05-15	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	8	Over	—
2026-05-10	vs Spurs	6	Under	—
2026-05-08	vs Spurs	9	Over	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	7	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 7.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.