NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball G

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

13.5 Reb+Ast O -109U -121

Hit rate · Last 5 20%1/5 Odds imply 48.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 11.8
Graph median: 13.07.0–15.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 13.5.

Splits all logged games · over 13.5

Home 33% 12/36 · avg 12.0
Away 26% 10/38 · avg 11.8
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 14.5

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 11.5 60% 3/5
O 12.5 60% 3/5
O 13.5 Today 20% 1/5
O 14.5 20% 1/5
O 15.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts41.7#19
Ast14.5#5
3PM6.3#9
Reb9.9#25

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Reb+Ast	vs 13.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	7	Under	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	15	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	13	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	13	Under	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	11	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 13.5PrizePicks 13.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.