NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels F

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

4.5 Reb O -128U +100

Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 52.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 4.6
Graph median: 6.01.0–7.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 50% 21/42 · avg 4.7
Away 49% 21/43 · avg 4.3
vs Heat 0% 0/2 · avg 2.5

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 80% 4/5
O 3.5 60% 3/5
O 4.5 Today 60% 3/5
O 5.5 60% 3/5
O 6.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.0#2
Reb16.8#5
Ast7.2#14
3PM5.9#1

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 4.5	Close
2026-05-15	vs Spurs	1	Under	—
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	6	Over	—
2026-05-10	vs Spurs	6	Over	—
2026-05-08	vs Spurs	7	Over	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	3	Under	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.