NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball G

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

4.5 Reb O -145U +108

Hit rate · Last 5 80%4/5 Odds imply 55.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 4.8
Graph median: 5.02.0–7.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 50% 18/36 · avg 4.5
Away 55% 21/38 · avg 5.0
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 5.2

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 80% 4/5
O 3.5 80% 4/5
O 4.5 Today 80% 4/5
O 5.5 20% 1/5
O 6.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts41.7#19
Ast14.5#5
3PM6.3#9
Reb9.9#25

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 4.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	2	Under	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	5	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	7	Over	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	5	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	5	Over	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.