NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Davion Mitchell G

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

11.5 Pts+Reb O -108U -122

Hit rate · Last 10 80%8/10 Odds imply 48.6% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 16.0
Graph median: 14.56.0–32.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Davion Mitchell pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 66% 23/35 · avg 12.7
Away 58% 21/36 · avg 11.9
vs Timberwolves 50% 1/2 · avg 11.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 90% 9/10
O 10.5 80% 8/10
O 11.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 12.5 80% 8/10
O 13.5 60% 6/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Timberwolves

What Timberwolves allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts58.9#1
Ast14.1#7
3PM5.2#22
Reb17.5#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 11.5	Close
2026-04-14	@ Hornets	32	Over	—
2026-04-12	vs Hawks	14	Over	—
2026-04-09	@ Raptors	18	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Raptors	10	Under	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	16	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	23	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	13	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pacers	15	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Cavaliers	6	Under	—
2026-03-25	@ Cavaliers	13	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.