NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball G

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

24.5 Pts+Reb O -120U -110

Hit rate · Last 5 100%5/5 Odds imply 51.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 31.8
Graph median: 32.025.0–41.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 24.5.

Splits all logged games · over 24.5

Home 42% 15/36 · avg 24.3
Away 53% 20/38 · avg 25.7
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 30.5

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 20.5 100% 5/5
O 22.5 100% 5/5
O 24.5 Today 100% 5/5
O 26.5 60% 3/5
O 28.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts41.7#19
Ast14.5#5
3PM6.3#9
Reb9.9#25

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 24.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	25	Over	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	35	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	26	Over	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	32	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	41	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 24.5PrizePicks 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.