NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Zion Williamson F

Pelicans vs Pacers · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

26.5 Pts+Reb O -118U -111

Hit rate · Last 20 40%8/20 Odds imply 50.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 24.2
Graph median: 25.55.0–32.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Zion Williamson pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 26.5.

Splits all logged games · over 26.5

Home 52% 15/29 · avg 26.4
Away 54% 18/33 · avg 26.8
vs Pacers 100% 2/2 · avg 34.5

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 22.5 65% 13/20
O 24.5 55% 11/20
O 26.5 Today 40% 8/20
O 28.5 30% 6/20
O 30.5 20% 4/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Pacers

What Pacers allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts28.3#18
Reb10.6#21
Ast5.5#18
3PM3.2#17

Game log · 20 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 26.5	Close
2026-04-05	vs Magic	24	Under	—
2026-04-03	@ Kings	18	Under	—
2026-04-02	@ Trail Blazers	16	Under	—
2026-03-29	vs Rockets	22	Under	—
2026-03-27	@ Raptors	29	Over	—
2026-03-26	@ Pistons	27	Over	—
2026-03-24	@ Knicks	26	Under	—
2026-03-21	vs Cavaliers	31	Over	—
2026-03-19	vs Clippers	20	Under	—
2026-03-18	vs Clippers	18	Under	—
2026-03-16	vs Mavericks	31	Over	—
2026-03-13	@ Rockets	26	Under	—
2026-03-11	vs Raptors	25	Under	—
2026-03-08	vs Wizards	22	Under	—
2026-03-06	@ Suns	29	Over	—
2026-03-05	@ Kings	32	Over	—
2026-03-03	@ Lakers	28	Over	—
2026-02-28	@ Jazz	5	Under	—
2026-02-26	@ Jazz	24	Under	—
2026-02-24	vs Warriors	32	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 26.5PrizePicks 26.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.