NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ajay Mitchell G

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

14.5 Pts+Ast O -115U -114

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 50.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 18.0
Graph median: 12.03.0–34.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ajay Mitchell pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 64% 23/36 · avg 16.8
Away 69% 22/32 · avg 18.5
vs Spurs 20% 1/5 · avg 10.4

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 40% 2/5
O 13.5 40% 2/5
O 14.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 15.5 40% 2/5
O 16.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Spurs

What Spurs allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts49.1#8
Ast10.8#20
3PM7.2#4
Reb17.1#3

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 14.5	Close
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	3	Under	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	12	Under	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	9	Under	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	32	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	34	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.