NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Trey Murphy III F

Pelicans vs Pacers · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

23.5 Pts+Ast O -105U -126

Hit rate · Last 20 65%13/20 Odds imply 47.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 25.4
Graph median: 25.010.0–50.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Trey Murphy III pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 23.5.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 65% 22/34 · avg 25.7
Away 53% 17/32 · avg 24.9
vs Pacers 50% 1/2 · avg 24.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 19.5 80% 16/20
O 21.5 65% 13/20
O 23.5 Today 65% 13/20
O 25.5 45% 9/20
O 27.5 40% 8/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Pacers

What Pacers allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts28.3#18
Reb10.6#21
Ast5.5#18
3PM3.2#17

Game log · 20 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 23.5	Close
2026-04-03	@ Kings	17	Under	—
2026-04-02	@ Trail Blazers	21	Under	—
2026-03-24	@ Knicks	18	Under	—
2026-03-21	vs Cavaliers	10	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Clippers	29	Over	—
2026-03-18	vs Clippers	28	Over	—
2026-03-16	vs Mavericks	24	Over	—
2026-03-13	@ Rockets	21	Under	—
2026-03-11	vs Raptors	31	Over	—
2026-03-08	vs Wizards	28	Over	—
2026-03-06	@ Suns	26	Over	—
2026-03-05	@ Kings	25	Over	—
2026-03-03	@ Lakers	25	Over	—
2026-03-01	@ Clippers	19	Under	—
2026-02-11	vs Heat	25	Over	—
2026-02-09	vs Kings	28	Over	—
2026-02-06	@ Timberwolves	31	Over	—
2026-02-04	@ Bucks	50	Over	—
2026-02-02	@ Hornets	31	Over	—
2026-01-31	@ 76ers	21	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 23.5PrizePicks 23.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.