NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Pelle Larsson G

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

18.5 PRA O -106U -124

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 48.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 19.2
Graph median: 16.011.0–30.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Pelle Larsson pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 18.5.

Splits all logged games · over 18.5

Home 57% 20/35 · avg 19.5
Away 43% 15/35 · avg 17.4
vs Timberwolves 0% 0/1 · avg 10.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 14.5 60% 3/5
O 16.5 40% 2/5
O 18.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 20.5 40% 2/5
O 22.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Timberwolves

What Timberwolves allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts58.9#1
Ast14.1#7
3PM5.2#22
Reb17.5#2

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 18.5	Close
2026-04-14	@ Hornets	12	Under	—
2026-04-10	@ Wizards	30	Over	—
2026-04-09	@ Raptors	16	Under	—
2026-04-07	@ Raptors	11	Under	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	27	Over	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.