NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Aaron Nesmith

Pacers vs Pelicans · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

Avg 19.9 PRA

2025-26 average · no line posted yet

Hit rate vs avg · Last 5 40%2/5 No line posted yet

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 20.4
Graph median: 19.07.0–35.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Aaron Nesmith pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 19.9.

Splits all logged games · over 19.9

Home 47% 9/19 · avg 21.1
Away 42% 11/26 · avg 19.0
vs Pelicans 0% 0/1 · avg 17.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 15.9 80% 4/5
O 17.9 80% 4/5
O 19.9 Avg 40% 2/5
O 21.9 40% 2/5
O 23.9 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 19.9	Close
2026-03-27	vs Clippers	35	Over	—
2026-03-25	vs Lakers	18	Under	—
2026-03-23	@ Magic	23	Over	—
2026-03-21	@ Spurs	7	Under	—
2026-03-18	vs Trail Blazers	19	Under	—

No sportsbook line is posted for this player yet, so hit rate counts past games above the player’s own 2025-26 average. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores.