NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball G

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

33.5 PRA O -114U -115

Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 49.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 38.8
Graph median: 40.030.0–47.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 33.5.

Splits all logged games · over 33.5

Home 36% 13/36 · avg 31.8
Away 40% 15/38 · avg 32.5
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 39.8

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 29.5 100% 5/5
O 31.5 80% 4/5
O 33.5 Today 60% 3/5
O 35.5 60% 3/5
O 37.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts41.7#19
Ast14.5#5
3PM6.3#9
Reb9.9#25

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 33.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	30	Under	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	45	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	32	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	40	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	47	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 33.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.