NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Paolo Banchero

Magic vs Hawks · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

22.5 Pts O -114U -111

Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 50.3% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 28.6
Graph median: 25.017.0–45.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Paolo Banchero points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 22.5.

Splits all logged games · over 22.5

Home 50% 20/40 · avg 21.6
Away 56% 23/41 · avg 23.5
vs Hawks 0% 0/4 · avg 15.5

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 18.5 60% 3/5
O 20.5 60% 3/5
O 22.5 Today 60% 3/5
O 24.5 60% 3/5
O 26.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 22.5	Close
2026-05-03	@ Pistons	38	Over	—
2026-05-01	vs Pistons	17	Under	—
2026-04-29	@ Pistons	45	Over	—
2026-04-27	vs Pistons	18	Under	—
2026-04-25	vs Pistons	25	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 22.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.