NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ethan Thompson

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

Avg 8.2 Pts

2025-26 average · no line posted yet

Hit rate vs avg · Last 5 80%4/5 No line posted yet

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 14.0
Graph median: 15.05.0–18.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ethan Thompson points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.2.

Splits all logged games · over 8.2

Home 46% 6/13 · avg 7.4
Away 50% 7/14 · avg 8.9
vs Timberwolves 100% 1/1 · avg 17.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 6.2 80% 4/5
O 7.2 80% 4/5
O 8.2 Avg 80% 4/5
O 9.2 80% 4/5
O 10.2 80% 4/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 8.2	Close
2026-04-12	vs Pistons	18	Over	—
2026-04-10	vs 76ers	15	Over	—
2026-04-09	@ Nets	15	Over	—
2026-04-07	vs Timberwolves	17	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Cavaliers	5	Under	—

No sportsbook line is posted for this player yet, so hit rate counts past games above the player’s own 2025-26 average. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores.