NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tyler Herro

Bucks vs Wizards · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

22.5 Pts O -110U -117

Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 49.3% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 18.3
Graph median: 18.05.0–31.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Tyler Herro points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 22.5.

Splits all logged games · over 22.5

Home 41% 7/17 · avg 20.6
Away 35% 6/17 · avg 20.5
vs Wizards No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 18.5 30% 3/10
O 20.5 30% 3/10
O 22.5 Today 30% 3/10
O 24.5 20% 2/10
O 26.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 22.5	Close
2026-04-14	@ Hornets	23	Over	—
2026-04-12	vs Hawks	5	Under	—
2026-04-09	@ Raptors	15	Under	—
2026-04-07	@ Raptors	14	Under	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	18	Under	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	30	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pacers	31	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Cavaliers	11	Under	—
2026-03-25	@ Cavaliers	18	Under	—
2026-03-23	vs Spurs	18	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 24.5PrizePicks 22.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.