NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

28.5 Pts O -114U -115

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 49.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 27.0
Graph median: 27.022.0–31.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Giannis Antetokounmpo points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 28.5.

Splits all logged games · over 28.5

Home 47% 9/19 · avg 27.3
Away 59% 10/17 · avg 27.9
vs Timberwolves 0% 0/1 · avg 25.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 60% 3/5
O 26.5 60% 3/5
O 28.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 30.5 40% 2/5
O 32.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 28.5	Close
2026-03-15	vs Pacers	31	Over	—
2026-03-12	@ Heat	31	Over	—
2026-03-10	vs Suns	22	Under	—
2026-03-07	vs Jazz	27	Under	—
2026-03-04	vs Hawks	24	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 28.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.