NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaxson Hayes

Jazz vs Grizzlies · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

7.5 Pts O -140U +107

Hit rate · Last 5 20%1/5 Odds imply 54.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 6.6
Graph median: 5.01.0–18.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaxson Hayes points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 7.5.

Splits all logged games · over 7.5

Home 48% 16/33 · avg 7.6
Away 40% 17/43 · avg 7.0
vs Grizzlies 33% 1/3 · avg 5.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 5.5 40% 2/5
O 6.5 20% 1/5
O 7.5 Today 20% 1/5
O 8.5 20% 1/5
O 9.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 7.5	Close
2026-05-11	vs Thunder	18	Over	—
2026-05-09	vs Thunder	1	Under	—
2026-05-07	@ Thunder	6	Under	—
2026-05-05	@ Thunder	3	Under	—
2026-05-01	@ Rockets	5	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 8

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.