NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Paul Reed F

Pistons vs Celtics · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

7.5 Pts O -151U +102

Hit rate · Last 5 80%4/5 Odds imply 54.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 11.4
Graph median: 11.04.0–17.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Paul Reed points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 7.5.

Splits all logged games · over 7.5

Home 47% 16/34 · avg 6.9
Away 54% 20/37 · avg 9.1
vs Celtics No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 5.5 80% 4/5
O 6.5 80% 4/5
O 7.5 Today 80% 4/5
O 8.5 80% 4/5
O 9.5 80% 4/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Celtics

What Celtics allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts19.1#20
Reb5.9#27
Ast3.4#23
3PM3.3#9

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 7.5	Close
2026-05-17	vs Cavaliers	4	Under	—
2026-05-15	@ Cavaliers	17	Over	—
2026-05-13	vs Cavaliers	10	Over	—
2026-05-11	@ Cavaliers	15	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Cavaliers	11	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 7.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.