NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Reed Sheppard

Rockets vs Mavericks · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -103U -123

Hit rate · Last 5 80%4/5 Odds imply 47.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 11.2
Graph median: 12.00.0–17.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Reed Sheppard points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 73% 32/44 · avg 14.0
Away 73% 32/44 · avg 12.9
vs Mavericks 25% 1/4 · avg 7.8

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 80% 4/5
O 8.5 80% 4/5
O 9.5 Today 80% 4/5
O 10.5 60% 3/5
O 11.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-05-01	vs Lakers	10	Over	—
2026-04-29	@ Lakers	12	Over	—
2026-04-26	vs Lakers	17	Over	—
2026-04-24	vs Lakers	17	Over	—
2026-04-21	@ Lakers	0	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.