NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

19.5 Pts O -113U -115

Hit rate · Last 5 80%4/5 Odds imply 49.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 27.0
Graph median: 27.019.0–36.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 19.5.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

Home 53% 19/36 · avg 19.8
Away 47% 18/38 · avg 20.7
vs Heat 100% 4/4 · avg 25.2

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 15.5 100% 5/5
O 17.5 100% 5/5
O 19.5 Today 80% 4/5
O 21.5 80% 4/5
O 23.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 19.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	23	Over	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	30	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	19	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	27	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	36	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 19.5PrizePicks 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.