NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels F

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

2.5 Ast O +120U -157

Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 42.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 2.2
Graph median: 2.00.0–4.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels assists by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 52% 22/42 · avg 2.5
Away 56% 24/43 · avg 2.9
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 2.5

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 80% 4/5
O 1.5 80% 4/5
O 2.5 Today 40% 2/5
O 3.5 20% 1/5
O 4.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.0#2
Reb16.8#5
Ast7.2#14
3PM5.9#1

Game log · 5 games

Date	Opp	Ast	vs 2.5	Close
2026-05-15	vs Spurs	3	Over	—
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	2	Under	—
2026-05-10	vs Spurs	0	Under	—
2026-05-08	vs Spurs	2	Under	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	4	Over	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.