College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 230 players

Malachi Toney WR

Miami vs Florida State ·

99.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 20 40%8/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
120.8
Graph avg
86.7
Graph median
80.512–234
Over the close
53%10/19
2026 per game
Rec7.8â–²+1.0
Rec Yds120.8â–²+45.1
Rec TD1.2â–²+0.6
Malachi Toney receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 99.5.
  1. 2025
    80
  2. 66
  3. 40
  4. 107
  5. 135
  6. 52
  7. 70
  8. 12
  9. 54
  10. 146
  11. 126
  12. 22
  13. 16
  14. 81
  15. 122
  16. 2026
    234
  17. 96
  18. 114
  19. 120
  20. 40
  21. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 99.5

  • Home 20% 2/10 · avg 73.7
  • Away 54% 6/11 · avg 98.0
  • vs Florida State 100% 1/1 · avg 107.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 79.5 55% 11/20
  • O 89.5 45% 9/20
  • O 99.5 Today 40% 8/20
  • O 109.5 35% 7/20
  • O 119.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Florida State

What Florida State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds188.7#120
  • Receptions15.5#86
  • Yds/Rec12.2#126
  • Rec TD1.7#64

WRs vs Florida State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Florida State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-8.9
Avg diff %-11%
Beat their average50% (5/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 09 Tre Richardson089.0-100%
Oct 09 Lawayne McCoy7868.4+14%
Oct 03 Rico Flores1348.3-73%
Oct 03 Dashawn Martin3532.2+9%
Sep 19 Ryan Williams6270.6-12%
Sep 19 Lotzeir Brooks10157.6+75%
Sep 07 Yamir Knight4979.5-38%
Sep 07 Jalen Cooper7154.8+30%
Aug 29 Tyler King7852.0+50%
Aug 29 Josiah Thomas1437.8-63%

Game log · 20 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 99.5Close
2026-10-035@ Clemson40Under100.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan120Over112.5
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest114Over99.5
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M96Under108.5
2026-09-041@ Stanford234Over73.5
2026-01-191 (P)@ Indiana122Over60.5
2026-01-081 (P)@ Ole Miss81Under61.5
2025-12-311 (P)@ Ohio State16Under65.5
2025-12-201 (P)@ Texas A&M22Under15.5
2025-11-2914@ Pittsburgh126Over80.5
2025-11-2213@ Virginia Tech146Over65.5
2025-11-1512vs NC State54Under62.5
2025-11-0811vs Syracuse12Under78.5
2025-11-0110@ SMU70Under77.5
2025-10-259vs Stanford52Under81.5
2025-10-178vs Louisville135Over69.5
2025-10-046@ Florida State107Over79.5
2025-09-204vs Florida40Under73.5
2025-09-133vs South Florida66Under67.5
2025-09-062vs Bethune-Cookman80Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 99.5PrizePicks 99.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.