College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Ethan Grunkemeyer QB

Virginia Tech vs California ·

289.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
289.2
Graph avg
289.2
Graph median
314.0147–434
Over the close
67%2/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds289.2â–²+155.3
Att35.4â–²+17.6
Cmp%74.0%â–²+4.9
Pass TD2.2â–²+1.4
INT0.4+0.0
Rush Yds-4.8â–¼-0.2
Ethan Grunkemeyer passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 289.5.
  1. 2026
    224
  2. 327
  3. 314
  4. 147
  5. 434
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 289.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 186.2
  • Away 14% 1/7 · avg 185.0
  • vs California No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 269.5 60% 3/5
  • O 279.5 60% 3/5
  • O 289.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 299.5 60% 3/5
  • O 309.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs California

What California allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds203.4#130
  • Yds/Att6.5#152
  • Cmp%58.8%#150
  • Pass TD1.4#111
  • Pass Att31.1#57

QBs vs California · 2026

Each main QB who faced California this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.3
Avg diff %-7%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Jackson Arnold177222.8-21%
Sep 25 Tait Reynolds108177.5-39%
Sep 12 Steven Angeli306212.0+44%
Sep 05 Nico Iamaleava184212.0-13%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 289.5Close
2026-10-025vs Pittsburgh434Over254.5
2026-09-264@ Boston College147Under218.5
2026-09-193@ Maryland314Over247.5
2026-09-122vs Old Dominion327Over—
2026-09-051vs VMI224Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 289.5PrizePicks 289.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.