College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Ethan Grunkemeyer QB

Virginia Tech vs California ·

289.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
289.2
Graph avg
244.2
Graph median
221.5127–434
Over the close
75%6/8
2026 per game
Pass Yds289.2â–²+155.3
Att35.4â–²+17.6
Cmp%74.0%â–²+4.9
Pass TD2.2â–²+1.4
INT0.4+0.0
Rush Yds-4.8â–¼-0.2
Ethan Grunkemeyer passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 289.5.
  1. 2025
    219
  2. 127
  3. 181
  4. 209
  5. 260
  6. 2026
    224
  7. 327
  8. 314
  9. 147
  10. 434
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 289.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 186.2
  • Away 14% 1/7 · avg 185.0
  • vs California No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 269.5 30% 3/10
  • O 279.5 30% 3/10
  • O 289.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 299.5 30% 3/10
  • O 309.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs California

What California allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds203.4#130
  • Yds/Att6.5#152
  • Cmp%58.8%#150
  • Pass TD1.4#111
  • Pass Att31.1#57

QBs vs California · 2026

Each main QB who faced California this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.3
Avg diff %-7%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Jackson Arnold177222.8-21%
Sep 25 Tait Reynolds108177.5-39%
Sep 12 Steven Angeli306212.0+44%
Sep 05 Nico Iamaleava184212.0-13%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 289.5Close
2026-10-025vs Pittsburgh434Over254.5
2026-09-264@ Boston College147Under218.5
2026-09-193@ Maryland314Over247.5
2026-09-122vs Old Dominion327Over—
2026-09-051vs VMI224Under—
2025-12-271 (P)@ Clemson260Under185.5
2025-11-2914@ Rutgers209Under197.5
2025-11-2213vs Nebraska181Under160.5
2025-11-1512@ Michigan State127Under189.5
2025-11-0811vs Indiana219Under143.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 289.5PrizePicks 289.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.