College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Ethan Grunkemeyer QB

Virginia Tech vs California ·

289.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · All 20%3/15 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
289.2
Graph avg
185.7
Graph median
181.00–434
Over the close
70%7/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds289.2â–²+155.3
Att35.4â–²+17.6
Cmp%74.0%â–²+4.9
Pass TD2.2â–²+1.4
INT0.4+0.0
Rush Yds-4.8â–¼-0.2
Ethan Grunkemeyer passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 289.5.
  1. 2025
    86
  2. 19
  3. 0
  4. 93
  5. 145
  6. 219
  7. 127
  8. 181
  9. 209
  10. 260
  11. 2026
    224
  12. 327
  13. 314
  14. 147
  15. 434
  16. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 289.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 186.2
  • Away 14% 1/7 · avg 185.0
  • vs California No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 269.5 20% 3/15
  • O 279.5 20% 3/15
  • O 289.5 Today 20% 3/15
  • O 299.5 20% 3/15
  • O 309.5 20% 3/15

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs California

What California allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds203.4#130
  • Yds/Att6.5#152
  • Cmp%58.8%#150
  • Pass TD1.4#111
  • Pass Att31.1#57

QBs vs California · 2026

Each main QB who faced California this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.3
Avg diff %-7%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Jackson Arnold177222.8-21%
Sep 25 Tait Reynolds108177.5-39%
Sep 12 Steven Angeli306212.0+44%
Sep 05 Nico Iamaleava184212.0-13%

Game log · 15 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 289.5Close
2026-10-025vs Pittsburgh434Over254.5
2026-09-264@ Boston College147Under218.5
2026-09-193@ Maryland314Over247.5
2026-09-122vs Old Dominion327Over—
2026-09-051vs VMI224Under—
2025-12-271 (P)@ Clemson260Under185.5
2025-11-2914@ Rutgers209Under197.5
2025-11-2213vs Nebraska181Under160.5
2025-11-1512@ Michigan State127Under189.5
2025-11-0811vs Indiana219Under143.5
2025-11-0110@ Ohio State145Under131.5
2025-10-188@ Iowa93Under165.5
2025-10-117vs Northwestern0Under—
2025-09-133vs Villanova19Under—
2025-08-301vs Nevada86Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 289.5PrizePicks 289.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 8m ago.