College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 9 players

Jalen Likely RB

Jacksonville State vs Florida International ·

35.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · This season 60%3/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
40.2
Graph avg
40.2
Graph median
40.08–73
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Carries8.0â–²+6.2
Rush Yds40.2â–²+27.2
Rush TD0.4â–²+0.4
Rec1.6â–²+0.9
Rec Yds12.2â–²+10.7
Jalen Likely rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 35.5.
  1. 2026
    48
  2. 73
  3. 8
  4. 32
  5. 40
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 35.5

  • Home 33% 2/6 · avg 27.5
  • Away 67% 2/3 · avg 29.3
  • vs Florida International 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 25.5 80% 4/5
  • O 30.5 80% 4/5
  • O 35.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 40.5 40% 2/5
  • O 45.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Florida International

What Florida International allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDCarriesRec Yds
  • Rush Yds117.8#128
  • Yds/Carry4.5#142
  • Rush TD1.2#108
  • Carries26.2#106
  • Rec Yds31.7#47

RBs vs Florida International · 2026

Each main RB who faced Florida International this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-42.5
Avg diff %-49%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 07 James Jones89102.0-13%
Sep 19 Ethan Ervin3669.8-48%
Sep 12 Messiah Burch1694.6-83%
Sep 05 D.J. Crowther4286.8-52%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 35.5Close
2026-10-076@ Kennesaw State40Over29.5
2026-09-264vs Middle Tennessee32Under—
2026-09-193vs Georgia Southern8Under—
2026-09-051vs Eastern Kentucky73Over—
2026-08-291@ North Dakota State48Over59.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 35.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.