CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Brendan Jenkins WR

South Alabama vs Marshall · Tue Oct 20 · 7:30 PM ET

40.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · This season 50%3/6 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 59.2
Graph avg: 59.2
Graph median: 57.05–119
Over the close: 0%0/1

2026 per game

Rec3.5▲+1.7

Rec Yds59.2▲+35.8

Rec TD0.5▲+0.3

40.5

2026

78

Sep 05
119

Sep 12
5

Sep 19
26

Sep 26
91

Oct 03
36

Oct 08
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 40.5

Home 40% 2/5 · avg 45.0
Away 17% 1/6 · avg 41.2
vs Marshall No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 30.5 67% 4/6
O 35.5 67% 4/6
O 40.5 Today 50% 3/6
O 45.5 50% 3/6
O 50.5 50% 3/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Marshall

What Marshall allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds206.2#84
Receptions15.0#106
Yds/Rec13.7#54
Rec TD2.1#33

WRs vs Marshall · 2026

Each main WR who faced Marshall this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-3.3

Avg diff %-16%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Robby Washington	0	47.0	-100%
Oct 10	Tristian Gardner	4	42.2	-91%
Oct 03	Cole Keller	35	46.7	-25%
Oct 03	Corey Scott	104	45.8	+127%
Sep 19	Isaiah Myers	141	103.2	+37%
Sep 19	Mekhi Miller	8	46.0	-83%
Sep 12	Cam'Ron Lacy	72	59.4	+21%
Sep 12	Koraun Perdue	14	44.0	-68%
Sep 05	Koby Howard	161	91.5	+76%
Sep 05	Chase Sowell	33	79.5	-58%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 40.5	Close
2026-10-08	6	@ Arkansas State	36	Under	46.5
2026-10-03	5	vs UL Monroe	91	Over	—
2026-09-26	4	@ Kentucky	26	Under	—
2026-09-19	3	vs Ohio	5	Under	—
2026-09-12	2	@ Tulane	119	Over	—
2026-09-05	1	vs SE Louisiana	78	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 41.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 21m ago.