College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Xavier Townsend WR

Purdue vs Minnesota ·

44.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 20 38%5/13 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
61.4
Graph avg
42.3
Graph median
28.00–162
Over the close
25%1/4
2026 per game
Rec5.6â–²+3.3
Rec Yds61.4â–²+31.0
Rec TD0.4â–²+0.4
Xavier Townsend receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 44.5.
  1. 2025
    34
  2. 6
  3. 92
  4. 9
  5. 50
  6. 28
  7. 24
  8. 0
  9. 2026
    47
  10. 58
  11. 162
  12. 16
  13. 24
  14. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 44.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 24.2
  • Away 60% 3/5 · avg 71.2
  • vs Minnesota No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 34.5 38% 5/13
  • O 39.5 38% 5/13
  • O 44.5 Today 38% 5/13
  • O 49.5 31% 4/13
  • O 54.5 23% 3/13

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Minnesota

What Minnesota allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds196.5#96
  • Receptions16.0#79
  • Yds/Rec12.3#117
  • Rec TD1.0#155

WRs vs Minnesota · 2026

Each main WR who faced Minnesota this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-20.1
Avg diff %-31%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 JJ Buchanan5099.0-49%
Oct 03 Andrew Marsh2959.8-51%
Sep 26 Rashid Williams262.0-97%
Sep 26 Chris Lawson7760.6+27%
Sep 19 Marcel Williams1350.0-74%
Sep 19 Kyan Mason3227.8+15%
Sep 12 Anthony Evans III121113.2+7%
Sep 12 Sanfrisco Magee4254.2-23%

Game log · 13 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 44.5Close
2026-10-035@ Illinois24Under50.5
2026-09-264vs Notre Dame16Under40.5
2026-09-193@ UCLA162Over39.5
2026-09-122vs Wake Forest58Over—
2026-09-041vs Indiana State47Over—
2025-11-0110vs Arizona State0Under—
2025-10-259vs BYU24Under—
2025-10-117@ Colorado28Under—
2025-10-046@ Cincinnati50Over—
2025-09-275vs Arizona9Under20.5
2025-09-133@ Arkansas State92Over—
2025-09-062vs Iowa6Under—
2025-08-301vs South Dakota34Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 44.5PrizePicks 44.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.