College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 230 players

Hayden Eligon WR

Northwestern vs Michigan State ·

14.5 Rec Yds
Hit rate · Last 10 80%8/10 Odds imply —
Season avg
12.0
Graph avg
43.7
Graph median
34.57–127
Over the close
67%4/6
2026 per game
Rec1.0â–¼-2.1
Rec Yds12.0â–¼-31.4
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Hayden Eligon receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.
  1. 2025
    7
  2. 43
  3. 48
  4. 18
  5. 26
  6. 127
  7. 99
  8. 45
  9. 2026
    8
  10. 16
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

  • Home 70% 7/10 · avg 37.3
  • Away 75% 3/4 · avg 43.0
  • vs Michigan State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 100% 10/10
  • O 9.5 80% 8/10
  • O 14.5 Today 80% 8/10
  • O 19.5 60% 6/10
  • O 24.5 60% 6/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Michigan State

What Michigan State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds186.0#124
  • Receptions14.2#138
  • Yds/Rec13.1#76
  • Rec TD1.4#104

WRs vs Michigan State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Michigan State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.3
Avg diff %+15%
Beat their average33% (4/12)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Collin Dixon62109.2-43%
Oct 10 Hudson Clement10559.8+76%
Oct 03 Tyrell Henry3276.8-58%
Oct 03 Jacob Harris3550.8-31%
Sep 26 Jacory Barney Jr.1265.8-82%
Sep 26 Kwazi Gilmer10163.4+59%
Sep 19 Jordan Faison3869.8-46%
Sep 19 Micah Gilbert17041.6+309%
Sep 12 Ben Prosper3054.2-45%
Sep 12 Harold Mack4950.2-2%
Sep 04 Bryson Hammer4967.2-27%
Sep 04 Adjatay Dabbs10160.2+68%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 14.5Close
2026-10-106vs Ball State16Over—
2026-09-051vs South Dakota State8Under—
2025-12-261 (P)vs Central Michigan45Over46.5
2025-11-2914@ Illinois99Over33.5
2025-11-2213vs Minnesota127Over—
2025-11-1512vs Michigan26Over24.5
2025-11-0711@ USC18Over22.5
2025-10-259@ Nebraska48Over24.5
2025-10-188vs Purdue43Over31.5
2025-10-117@ Penn State7Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: current books, updated 4m ago.