College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 319 players

Ed Small WR

TCU vs Baylor ·

39.5 Rec Yds O -120U -110
Hit rate · Last 5 80%4/5 Odds imply 51.0% Over
Season avg
80.6
Graph avg
80.6
Graph median
65.032–164
Over the close
50%2/4
2026 per game
Rec5.6â–²+2.4
Rec Yds80.6â–²+43.4
Rec TD0.2â–¼-0.2
Ed Small receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 39.5.
39.5
  1. 2026
    65
  2. 101
  3. 164
  4. 41
  5. 32
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

  • Home 57% 4/7 · avg 62.3
  • Away 67% 2/3 · avg 51.0
  • vs Baylor No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 29.5 100% 5/5
  • O 34.5 80% 4/5
  • O 39.5 Today 80% 4/5
  • O 44.5 60% 3/5
  • O 49.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Baylor

What Baylor allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds179.9#137
  • Receptions16.2#68
  • Yds/Rec11.1#172
  • Rec TD1.1#135

WRs vs Baylor · 2026

Each main WR who faced Baylor this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+8.3
Avg diff %+13%
Beat their average50% (4/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Reed Harris125116.2+8%
Oct 03 Omarion Miller8556.8+50%
Sep 26 Joseph Williams12781.8+55%
Sep 26 Quentin Gibson1818.0+0%
Sep 19 Jalen Mickens6392.8-32%
Sep 19 Eli Finley6565.0+0%
Sep 05 Keshaun Singleton8958.2+53%
Sep 05 Chas Nimrod4158.0-29%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 39.5Close
2026-10-035vs BYU32Under42.5
2026-09-264@ UCF41Over56.5
2026-09-193vs Arkansas State164Over54.5
2026-09-122vs Grambling101Over—
2026-08-291vs North Carolina65Over44.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 39.5Underdog 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 1m ago.