College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 319 players

Ed Small WR

TCU vs Baylor ·

39.5 Rec Yds O -120U -110
Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 51.0% Over
Season avg
80.6
Graph avg
58.9
Graph median
43.011–164
Over the close
50%2/4
2026 per game
Rec5.6â–²+2.4
Rec Yds80.6â–²+43.4
Rec TD0.2â–¼-0.2
Ed Small receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 39.5.
39.5
  1. 2025
    45
  2. 18
  3. 11
  4. 11
  5. 101
  6. 2026
    65
  7. 101
  8. 164
  9. 41
  10. 32
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

  • Home 57% 4/7 · avg 62.3
  • Away 67% 2/3 · avg 51.0
  • vs Baylor No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 29.5 70% 7/10
  • O 34.5 60% 6/10
  • O 39.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 44.5 50% 5/10
  • O 49.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Baylor

What Baylor allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds179.9#137
  • Receptions16.2#68
  • Yds/Rec11.1#172
  • Rec TD1.1#135

WRs vs Baylor · 2026

Each main WR who faced Baylor this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+8.3
Avg diff %+13%
Beat their average50% (4/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Reed Harris125116.2+8%
Oct 03 Omarion Miller8556.8+50%
Sep 26 Joseph Williams12781.8+55%
Sep 26 Quentin Gibson1818.0+0%
Sep 19 Jalen Mickens6392.8-32%
Sep 19 Eli Finley6565.0+0%
Sep 05 Keshaun Singleton8958.2+53%
Sep 05 Chas Nimrod4158.0-29%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 39.5Close
2026-10-035vs BYU32Under42.5
2026-09-264@ UCF41Over56.5
2026-09-193vs Arkansas State164Over54.5
2026-09-122vs Grambling101Over—
2026-08-291vs North Carolina65Over44.5
2025-10-117@ Kansas State101Over—
2025-10-046vs Colorado11Under—
2025-09-265@ Arizona State11Under—
2025-09-204vs SMU18Under—
2025-09-133vs Abilene Christian45Over—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 39.5Underdog 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 1m ago.