College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 230 players

Elija Lofton WR

Miami vs Florida State ·

29.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 20 22%4/18 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
26.8
Graph avg
19.6
Graph median
15.04–43
Over the close
31%4/13
2026 per game
Rec2.4â–²+0.6
Rec Yds26.8â–²+10.0
Rec TD0.2-0.0
Elija Lofton receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 29.5.
  1. 2025
    15
  2. 21
  3. 43
  4. 21
  5. 4
  6. 7
  7. 14
  8. 10
  9. 29
  10. 22
  11. 9
  12. 8
  13. 15
  14. 2026
    14
  15. 9
  16. 39
  17. 38
  18. 34
  19. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 29.5

  • Home 22% 2/9 · avg 19.6
  • Away 22% 2/9 · avg 19.6
  • vs Florida State 0% 0/1 · avg 21.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 19.5 44% 8/18
  • O 24.5 28% 5/18
  • O 29.5 Today 22% 4/18
  • O 34.5 17% 3/18
  • O 39.5 6% 1/18

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Florida State

What Florida State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds188.7#120
  • Receptions15.5#86
  • Yds/Rec12.2#126
  • Rec TD1.7#64

WRs vs Florida State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Florida State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-8.9
Avg diff %-11%
Beat their average50% (5/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 09 Tre Richardson089.0-100%
Oct 09 Lawayne McCoy7868.4+14%
Oct 03 Rico Flores1348.3-73%
Oct 03 Dashawn Martin3532.2+9%
Sep 19 Ryan Williams6270.6-12%
Sep 19 Lotzeir Brooks10157.6+75%
Sep 07 Yamir Knight4979.5-38%
Sep 07 Jalen Cooper7154.8+30%
Aug 29 Tyler King7852.0+50%
Aug 29 Josiah Thomas1437.8-63%

Game log · 18 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 29.5Close
2026-10-035@ Clemson34Over22.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan38Over—
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest39Over—
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M9Under17.5
2026-09-041@ Stanford14Under16.5
2026-01-081 (P)@ Ole Miss15Under9.5
2025-12-201 (P)@ Texas A&M8Under10.5
2025-11-2914@ Pittsburgh9Under21.5
2025-11-2213@ Virginia Tech22Under13.5
2025-11-1512vs NC State29Under16.5
2025-11-0811vs Syracuse10Under—
2025-11-0110@ SMU14Under15.5
2025-10-259vs Stanford7Under21.5
2025-10-178vs Louisville4Under23.5
2025-10-046@ Florida State21Under21.5
2025-09-204vs Florida43Over—
2025-09-062vs Bethune-Cookman21Under—
2025-08-311vs Notre Dame15Under33.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 29.5PrizePicks 29.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.