College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Drew Mestemaker QB

Oklahoma State vs UCF ·

284.5 Pass Yds O -120U -110
Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.0% Over
Season avg
317.8
Graph avg
318.2
Graph median
307.5234–469
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
Drew Mestemaker passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 284.5.
  1. 2025
    234
  2. 298
  3. 469
  4. 366
  5. 294
  6. 250
  7. 2026
    241
  8. 317
  9. 324
  10. 389
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 284.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 290.9
  • Away 56% 5/9 · avg 335.8
  • vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 264.5 70% 7/10
  • O 274.5 70% 7/10
  • O 284.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 294.5 60% 6/10
  • O 304.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds228.7#70
  • Yds/Att7.0#133
  • Cmp%63.3%#97
  • Pass TD1.0#167
  • Pass Att32.7#29

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+10.6
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Conner Weigman239236.5+1%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig310272.5+14%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown282218.8+29%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel212273.0-22%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 284.5Close
2026-09-264@ West Virginia389Over274.5
2026-09-193vs Murray State324Over331.5
2026-09-122vs Oregon317Over—
2026-09-051@ Tulsa241Under—
2025-12-271 (P)@ San Diego State250Under—
2025-12-0515@ Tulane294Over—
2025-11-2814vs Temple366Over—
2025-11-2213@ Rice469Over—
2025-11-1512@ UAB298Over—
2025-11-0110vs Navy234Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 286.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 3m ago.