College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Collin Dixon WR

Illinois vs Michigan State ·

94.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 20 17%3/18 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
109.2
Graph avg
60.8
Graph median
57.51–166
Over the close
62%10/16
2026 per game
Rec8.0â–²+5.3
Rec Yds109.2â–²+67.0
Rec TD1.6â–²+1.2
Collin Dixon receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 94.5.
  1. 2025
    8
  2. 36
  3. 21
  4. 86
  5. 90
  6. 70
  7. 46
  8. 29
  9. 36
  10. 1
  11. 62
  12. 53
  13. 10
  14. 2026
    70
  15. 166
  16. 131
  17. 63
  18. 116
  19. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 94.5

  • Home 25% 3/12 · avg 62.3
  • Away 0% 0/6 · avg 57.7
  • vs Michigan State No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 74.5 28% 5/18
  • O 84.5 28% 5/18
  • O 94.5 Today 17% 3/18
  • O 104.5 17% 3/18
  • O 114.5 17% 3/18

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Michigan State

What Michigan State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds169.2#157
  • Receptions12.8#164
  • Yds/Rec13.2#67
  • Rec TD1.2#131

WRs vs Michigan State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Michigan State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.3
Avg diff %+3%
Beat their average30% (3/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Tyrell Henry3276.8-58%
Oct 03 Jacob Harris3550.8-31%
Sep 26 Kwazi Gilmer10171.5+41%
Sep 26 Jacory Barney Jr.1255.2-78%
Sep 19 Jordan Faison3883.2-54%
Sep 19 Micah Gilbert17049.5+243%
Sep 12 Ben Prosper3055.2-46%
Sep 12 Harold Mack4953.8-9%
Sep 04 Bryson Hammer4967.2-27%
Sep 04 Adjatay Dabbs10166.5+52%

Game log · 18 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 94.5Close
2026-10-035vs Purdue116Over93.5
2026-09-264@ Ohio State63Under69.5
2026-09-193vs Southern Illinois131Over—
2026-09-122vs Duke166Over70.5
2026-09-031vs UAB70Under62.5
2025-12-301 (P)vs Tennessee10Under51.5
2025-11-2914vs Northwestern53Under32.5
2025-11-2213@ Wisconsin62Under34.5
2025-11-1512vs Maryland1Under38.5
2025-11-0110vs Rutgers36Under41.5
2025-10-259@ Washington29Under36.5
2025-10-117vs Ohio State46Under31.5
2025-10-046@ Purdue70Under40.5
2025-09-275vs USC90Under39.5
2025-09-204@ Indiana86Under28.5
2025-09-133vs Western Michigan21Under27.5
2025-09-062@ Duke36Under26.5
2025-08-291vs Western Illinois8Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 94.5PrizePicks 94.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 2m ago.