College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 230 players

Ashton Daniels QB

Florida State vs Miami ·

199.5 Pass Yds O +130U —
Hit rate · All 60%6/10 Odds imply —
Season avg
220.0
Graph avg
211.7
Graph median
205.577–377
Over the close
50%3/6
2026 per game
Pass Yds220.0â–²+20.8
Att25.5â–¼-4.2
Cmp%59.5%â–²+2.3
Pass TD1.3â–²+0.6
INT1.2â–²+0.7
Rush Yds53.8â–¼-16.2
Ashton Daniels passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 199.5.
  1. 2025
    77
  2. 108
  3. 353
  4. 259
  5. 2026
    202
  6. 125
  7. 377
  8. 224
  9. 183
  10. 209
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 199.5

  • Home 50% 3/6 · avg 183.5
  • Away 75% 3/4 · avg 254.0
  • vs Miami No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 179.5 70% 7/10
  • O 189.5 60% 6/10
  • O 199.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 209.5 40% 4/10
  • O 219.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Miami

What Miami allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds232.8#64
  • Yds/Att6.6#149
  • Cmp%61.4%#123
  • Pass TD0.6#179
  • Pass Att35.5#7

QBs vs Miami · 2026

Each main QB who faced Miami this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+63.1
Avg diff %+45%
Beat their average67% (2/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Tait Reynolds295130.8+126%
Sep 18 Giovanni Lopez312273.6+14%
Sep 04 Davis Warren214227.4-6%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 199.5Close
2026-10-096@ Louisville209Over209.5
2026-10-035vs Virginia183Under207.5
2026-09-264vs Central Arkansas224Over—
2026-09-193@ Alabama377Over146.5
2026-09-071vs SMU125Under—
2026-08-291vs New Mexico State202Over—
2025-11-2914vs Alabama259Over159.5
2025-11-0811@ Vanderbilt353Over169.5
2025-11-0110vs Kentucky108Under191.5
2025-10-259@ Arkansas77Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 194.5Underdog 194.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 4m ago.