CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kam Davis RB

Liberty vs Kennesaw State · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

82.5 Rush Yds O -121U —

Hit rate · This season 33%2/6 Odds imply —

Season avg: 87.3
Graph avg: 87.3
Graph median: 67.026–166
Over the close: 50%1/2

2026 per game

Carries12.3▲+9.7

Rush Yds87.3▲+70.3

Rush TD0.7▲+0.3

Rec0.5▼-0.5

Rec Yds1.5▼-13.8

82.5

2026

51

Sep 05
67

Sep 12
26

Sep 19
166

Sep 24
147

Oct 02
67

Oct 08
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 82.5

Home 0% 0/6 · avg 35.2
Away 67% 2/3 · avg 121.3
vs Kennesaw State No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 62.5 67% 4/6
O 72.5 33% 2/6
O 82.5 Today 33% 2/6
O 92.5 33% 2/6
O 102.5 33% 2/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Kennesaw State

What Kennesaw State allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds164.1#55
Yds/Carry5.5#59
Rush TD1.5#64
Carries29.6#57
Rec Yds35.1#30

RBs vs Kennesaw State · 2026

Each main RB who faced Kennesaw State this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-10.4

Avg diff %-1%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 14	Ramone Green Jr.	18	41.8	-57%
Oct 07	Jalen Likely	40	40.2	-1%
Sep 26	Solomon Baggett	63	44.8	+41%
Sep 19	DeSean Bishop	42	132.5	-68%
Sep 12	Lanear McCrary Jr.	101	56.8	+78%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 82.5	Close
2026-10-08	6	vs Sam Houston	67	Under	90.5
2026-10-02	5	@ Delaware	147	Over	—
2026-09-24	4	@ Coastal Carolina	166	Over	42.5
2026-09-19	3	vs Ball State	26	Under	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Gardner-Webb	67	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	@ James Madison	51	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 82.5PrizePicks 82.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 21m ago.