CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Aiden Flora RB

Iowa State vs Arizona · Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET

72.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 44%4/9 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 113.3
Graph avg: 82.0
Graph median: 54.00–212
Over the close: 80%4/5

2026 per game

Carries15.0▲+13.7

Rush Yds113.3▲+94.0

Rush TD1.0▲+0.7

Rec1.7▲+1.0

Rec Yds10.8▲+2.5

72.5

2025

0

Oct 11
51

Nov 22
7

Nov 29
2026

45

Sep 05
89

Sep 12
194

Sep 19
54

Sep 26
212

Oct 03
86

Oct 09
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 72.5

Home 40% 2/5 · avg 111.2
Away 50% 2/4 · avg 45.5
vs Arizona No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 52.5 56% 5/9
O 62.5 44% 4/9
O 72.5 Today 44% 4/9
O 82.5 44% 4/9
O 92.5 22% 2/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Arizona

What Arizona allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds111.2#142
Yds/Carry4.5#143
Rush TD0.8#145
Carries24.8#122
Rec Yds22.2#129

RBs vs Arizona · 2026

Each main RB who faced Arizona this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-5.8

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Cam Cook	141	115.3	+22%
Oct 03	Cole Tabb	19	85.8	-78%
Sep 26	Kirby Vorhees	39	38.0	+3%
Sep 19	Telly Johnson Jr.	69	74.0	-7%
Sep 12	LJ Martin	98	82.0	+20%

Game log · 9 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 72.5	Close
2026-10-09	6	@ BYU	86	Over	70.5
2026-10-03	5	vs West Virginia	212	Over	77.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Utah	54	Under	79.5
2026-09-19	3	vs Bowling Green	194	Over	77.5
2026-09-12	2	@ Iowa	89	Over	40.5
2026-09-05	1	vs Southeast Missouri State	45	Under	—
2025-11-29	14	@ Oklahoma State	7	Under	—
2025-11-22	13	vs Kansas	51	Under	—
2025-10-11	7	@ Colorado	0	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 72.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 34m ago.