College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Duke Watson RB

UCF vs Oklahoma State ·

73.5 Rush+Rec Yds
Hit rate · Last 20 17%2/12 Odds imply —
Season avg
82.2
Graph avg
51.5
Graph median
42.58–176
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Carries9.8â–²+2.8
Rush Yds80.8â–²+58.2
Rush TD0.6â–²+0.5
Rec1.2â–²+0.3
Rec Yds1.4â–¼-5.6
Duke Watson rush + rec yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 73.5.
  1. 2025
    32
  2. 13
  3. 50
  4. 8
  5. 19
  6. 43
  7. 42
  8. 2026
    110
  9. 17
  10. 176
  11. 59
  12. 49
  13. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 73.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 57.5
  • Away 0% 0/4 · avg 39.5
  • vs Oklahoma State No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 53.5 25% 3/12
  • O 63.5 17% 2/12
  • O 73.5 Today 17% 2/12
  • O 83.5 17% 2/12
  • O 93.5 17% 2/12

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Oklahoma State

What Oklahoma State allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDCarriesRec Yds
  • Rush Yds137.7#89
  • Yds/Carry4.8#120
  • Rush TD1.1#116
  • Carries28.5#61
  • Rec Yds19.4#145

Game log · 12 games

DateWkOppRush+Rec Ydsvs 73.5Close
2026-10-035@ Houston49Under64.5
2026-09-264vs TCU59Under79.5
2026-09-193vs Georgia State176Over88.5
2026-09-122@ Pittsburgh17Under—
2026-09-031vs Bethune-Cookman110Over—
2025-11-2213@ SMU42Under—
2025-11-1412vs Clemson43Under—
2025-11-0811vs California19Under—
2025-10-046vs Virginia8Under—
2025-09-275@ Pittsburgh50Under—
2025-09-052vs James Madison13Under—
2025-08-301vs Eastern Kentucky32Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 73.5PrizePicks 73.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: current books, updated 3m ago.