College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 319 players

Jai'den Thomas RB

UNLV vs Air Force ·

77.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
82.5
Graph avg
75.1
Graph median
56.037–143
Over the close
33%2/6
2026 per game
Carries15.8â–²+4.4
Rush Yds82.5â–²+3.0
Rush TD0.3â–¼-0.6
Rec2.3â–¼-0.6
Rec Yds19.2â–²+1.2
Jai'den Thomas rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 77.5.
77.5
  1. 2025
    61
  2. 103
  3. 41
  4. 51
  5. 2026
    44
  6. 143
  7. 37
  8. 113
  9. 46
  10. 112
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 77.5

  • Home 38% 3/8 · avg 74.1
  • Away 54% 6/11 · avg 85.1
  • vs Air Force 100% 1/1 · avg 88.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 57.5 50% 5/10
  • O 67.5 40% 4/10
  • O 77.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 87.5 40% 4/10
  • O 97.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Air Force

What Air Force allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDCarriesRec Yds
  • Rush Yds117.3#128
  • Yds/Carry5.2#88
  • Rush TD1.2#102
  • Carries22.4#162
  • Rec Yds48.2#7

RBs vs Air Force · 2026

Each main RB who faced Air Force this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-49.1
Avg diff %-40%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Telly Johnson Jr.4763.2-26%
Oct 03 Braxton Woodson3148.0-98%
Sep 26 Dominic Kelley6095.0-37%
Sep 12 Myles Mitchell6161.0+0%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 77.5Close
2026-10-106vs North Dakota State112Over—
2026-10-035vs California46Under76.5
2026-09-264@ Akron113Over—
2026-09-122@ North Texas37Under—
2026-09-051@ Hawai'i143Over68.5
2026-08-291vs Memphis44Under82.5
2025-12-231 (P)@ Ohio51Under66.5
2025-12-0515@ Boise State41Under67.5
2025-11-2914@ Nevada103Over—
2025-11-2113vs Hawai'i61Under55.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 77.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.